·8 min read·Kenneth Pernyér·1.7k views·196 appreciation

The Insurance Test for AI Agents

What cyber underwriting reveals about the governance gap in autonomous systems

insurancegovernanceagentsriskcontrols

Artificial intelligence is scaling faster than governance.

That gap is now visible in an unexpected place: insurance.

Major cyber insurers are signaling hesitation around autonomous AI agents and production chatbots. Not because they doubt the capability. Because they cannot yet quantify the residual risk.

Insurance is where innovation meets actuarial reality.

If your AI architecture cannot pass underwriting scrutiny, it does not matter how impressive the demo is.

It will not scale safely.


Insurers Do Not Price Innovation. They Price Controls.

In traditional cyber underwriting, the baseline is clear.

If you want coverage, you prove:

  • Multi-factor authentication
  • Just-In-Time privilege elevation
  • Zero standing admin access
  • Immutable audit logs
  • Incident response playbooks
  • Tested backups

Underwriters map these controls to frameworks like NIST, ISO 27001, and increasingly NIS2.

Fail the basics, and coverage becomes limited, excluded, or denied.

The question now is simple:

What is the equivalent baseline for AI agents?

Right now, it does not exist.


Why Agents Are "Above the Curve"

Underwriters look at today's agent stacks and see three structural problems.

1. Prompt Injection Is Architectural

It is not a bug. It is a property of the system.

Untrusted user input and trusted system instructions share the same reasoning context. That creates probabilistic exploitability.

From an insurance perspective, that is uncomfortable.

2. Identity Is Often an Afterthought

Breach research from organizations like IBM consistently shows that poor access control drives incident cost.

In many AI deployments today:

  • Agents operate with long-lived API keys
  • Privileges are broad and persistent
  • There is no Just-In-Time elevation
  • There is no strict separation between reasoning and execution

To an insurer, that resembles an always-on insider with administrator rights.

3. No Kill Switch Standard

In traditional infrastructure, we understand containment.

You isolate the node. You revoke credentials. You restore from immutable backup.

For agents, termination is not containment.

Containment requires:

  • Immediate credential revocation
  • Tool-level access collapse
  • State rollback
  • Audit trail preservation

Few organizations can demonstrate this under stress.

Underwriters notice.


The Market Is Dividing

We are entering a phase where AI deployments will bifurcate:

  • Those that are demonstrably governable
  • Those that remain experimental

Boards will increasingly ask:

  • Are our agents covered by cyber insurance?
  • Are there AI exclusions in our policy?
  • Can we quantify residual exposure?
  • What is our containment time?

This is not a technical debate.

It is a capital allocation question.


The Missing Baseline

To make agents insurable, we need the equivalent of MFA for autonomous systems.

That means:

1. First-class agent identity

  • Cryptographic workload identity
  • Short-lived, revocable tokens
  • Zero standing privilege

2. Deterministic control boundaries

  • Separation between reasoning and execution
  • Policy enforcement before tool invocation
  • Scoped action adapters

3. Tested emergency controls

  • Real kill switches
  • State checkpointing
  • Measurable containment drills

Insurance cannot model prompts. It can model verifiable controls.

The organizations that embed these controls will scale faster because their risk is priced, not feared.


Where Converge Fits

Converge was never designed as a prompt layer.

It was designed as a control plane for compound intelligence.

Its primitives are not cosmetic. They are governance constructs.

Truths

Truths define invariants.

In insurance language, they become enforceable policy boundaries.

They are not documentation. They are operational constraints the system cannot violate.

Constraints

Constraints limit:

  • Privilege scope
  • Execution domains
  • Budget exposure
  • Action surface area

Insurers price severity as much as frequency.

Constraints reduce severity.

Signals

Signals detect drift.

  • Privilege creep
  • Strategy-to-action mismatch
  • Unexpected agent behavior

This is not logging. It is structured deviation detection.

For underwriting, that translates into measurable loss prevention telemetry.


Converge as the Insurability Layer

If the last piece of software is an intent codec, then the next requirement is clear:

Intent must be auditable.

When an agent acts, we must be able to answer:

  • What job was it executing?
  • Under which constraints?
  • Within which invariants?
  • With what reversible boundaries?

That transforms AI from a probabilistic black box into a governable system.

Insurers do not require perfection. They require containment.

Converge is fundamentally about containment through structure.


The Strategic Inflection

Every technological wave reaches a governance inflection.

Cloud required zero trust. Finance required circuit breakers. Autonomous AI requires verifiable control planes.

Insurers will not block AI. They will force it to mature.

The organizations that architect for insurability from day one will deploy at scale with board-level confidence.

Those who treat governance as an afterthought will stall.

The signal is clear.

The next competitive advantage in AI will not be model size. It will be insurability.

And insurability begins with structure.

Phan Tiet, Vietnam

December 28, 2025

Kenneth Pernyér signature